Healthy Brexit for UK advertising market with yoy growth forecast at 5.2% for 2019 and 2020

Far from contracting the market Brexit seems healthy for adspend in the UK. At least till now, as investment in advertising rose 5.6% year-on-year to reach £5.97bn in Q3 2019, marking the UK advertising industry’s 25th consecutive quarter of market growth.
The rise in the third quarter of 2019 has been even 0.8 percentage points higher than forecast.

Looking ahead to the full-year figures for 2019, UK adspend is expected to reach £24.8Bn, meaning growth of 5.2%. This is expected to increase a further 5.2% in 2020 to reach £26.1Bn.

James McDonald, Data Editor at WARC. © WARC

“The UK’s ad market has sustained a 25-quarter period of expansion, but underlying data show that this growth is asymmetric – excluding online advertising, the UK’s ad market has contracted each quarter for the last four years. Online formats account for three in five pounds spent on advertising in the UK, and we expect this to rise to two in three by mid-2021, fueling total market growth in tow,” James McDonald, Data Editor at WARC commented.

The figures of the AA-Warc Advertising Expendidure Report have been published on the day that the Advertising Association’s LEAD summit for the UK’s ad industry has taken place at the QEII Conference Centre in Central London.

Digital drives growth in the largest online ad marketplace in Europe

Overall market growth is being driven by increased spend on online advertising, which saw percentage increases across every format.

This was led by digital out of home which rose by 17.1%, TV broadcaster VOD which experienced a rise of 16.7% and national online newsbrands which saw growth of 6.5%.

© WARC . To enlarge the image click on the photo.

The report also demonstrates particularly strong growth in Q3 2019 compared to the same quarter in 2018 in cinema advertising, which showed a very impressive rise of 46.5%.

Images and data, © WARC. Composition © Eastwind.

The impressive online figures are in line with the Advertising Pays 7: UK Advertising’s Digital Revolution report from industry’s think tank, Credos. The report, which was published last year, revealed that Britain is the largest online advertising marketplace in Europe and that the country has the highest per capita online retail spend in the G20.

Exceptional rise of SMEs investment in online advertising

Stephen Woodford, Chief Executive, Advertising Association commented on these figures and forecast: “UK media spend has continued to perform strongly in Q3 2019, now on the twenty-fifth straight quarter of growth. The figures show adspend increases across a range of media with digital formats and sectors continuing to drive growth. These media spend figures are particularly impressive given this was a period of Brexit and political uncertainty and very low overall economic growth. ”

Stephen Woodford, Chief Executive, Advertising Association. Image by courtesy of WARC.

“As the Credos report on UK digital advertising showed, this is in part fuelled by the exceptional growth in SME spend in digital, as well as larger advertisers continuing to move budgets into digital formats in most media sectors.

The projected growth for 2020 shows these trends continuing. With Brexit now a certainty, industry’s focus now turns to the future relationship with the EU and the importance of this to the overall health of the economy, which underpins this media spend growth, ” Woodford concluded.

Image over the headline.- © WARC.

Related Eastwind links:

Boris Johnson’s Brexit agreement approved by the EU Parliament

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